This points out horses who have shown they have the class to win a graded stakes race. After Street Senses 93 BSF in the Blue Grass, he took a giant leap to a 110 Beyer when he won the 2007 Kentucky Derby by 2 1/2 lengths. clare buckley grange hill; herschel walker campaign office phone number Donk said the race was a good starting point for both horses. Dick Jerardi Preakness Picks: Bet Epicenter (+120) at BetOnline. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. Since Decidedly won the Derby in 1962 when he was third with a furlong to go, the only four Kentucky Derby winners who were not first or second with a furlong to run were Grindstone, fourth with a furlong to run in 1996; Giacomo, sixth with a furlong to go in 2005; Animal Kingdom, third a furlong out in 2011 when only a half-length from being second; and Rich Strike, third with a furlong to go in 2022. Last time out, Nyquist posted a 94 Beyer figure to win the Florida Derby. (Exceptions: Funny Cide in 2003 and Mine That Bird in 2009 are the only geldings to win the Kentucky Derby since Clyde Van Dusen in 1929.) Is the horse good at long distances or only used to shorter tracks? Fager was a singular performer as a 4-year-old in 1968, Charles Hatton wrote in the American Racing Manual. Will Justify be raced that long? 21 Laoban and No. (The horse is not a gelding.) ( 57) Confidence Game 13. It was exactly what I wanted. Since Emblem Road (by Quality Road) won the Saudi Cup, they are fans of Quality Road. 8. The Triple Crown winner notched a career-high 120 Beyer Speed Figure in his final race while also setting a Keeneland track record time of 2:00.07 for the rarely used 1 1/4-mile distance.. It is tough to pull off a Triple Crown championship. It's not yet known for how much the Triple Crown winner will stand for after eight of his nine victories came at the Grade I level. Theyre both on target and were looking forward to running next Saturday, said Donk. So what are the most important things you need to know when making your picks for win, place and show? Medina Spirit finished first in the 2021 Kentucky Derby. Espinoza's up to 19th in earnings for jockeys at $185,008,725. On the top right is a breakdown of a horse's career statistics, broken down by year as well as how it has fared on different surfaces. The track conditions on the day of the race also are abbreviations: "fr" (frozen), "fst" (fast), "gd" (good), "hy" (heavy), "my" (muddy), "sl" for slow, "sly" for sloppy, and "wf" (wet-fast). They also incorporate how fast a track is playing that particular day by comparing performances and times under the same conditions. When you go through all of them, Ragozin or Beyer youll find one of them that you like. He ended his career on a fine note, earning a 120 Beyer for his Breeders Cup Classic win. He is from the family of grade 1-placed National Treasure. Her Beyer Speed Figure was 112, but that particular Classic was decided on a synthetic surface rather than on dirt. 111 Last Samurai 9. Peaceful Waters, who was consigned by Hunter Valley Farm, agent, is from the family of champion Soaring Softly, Grade 1 winner Plenty of Grace and Grade 2 winner Manitoulin. It was difficult to determine how much weight a horse was supposed to carry. A run to the Triple Crown, plus the $5 million Classic, pushed Baffert and jockey Victor Espinoza past some notable names in their own professions. American Pharoah won nine of his 11 races. Bred by Hibiscus Stables, Funny How is a half-sister to multiple New York-bred stakes winner Funny Guy. 171 Clairiere 6. This is a great sale to find a horse with potential. All information provided by this A Derby rule meant that a horse needed to have done this or that, or not done this or that, in order to win the Kentucky Derby. Disarm finished third, 4 1/4 lengths behind Arabian Lion. Out of the winning Yes It's True mare Thin Disguise, he is a half brother to grade 3 winner Holiday Disguise, stakes winner Midnight Disguise and grade 1-placed Forest Caraway. When a horse does not qualify in one of the eight categories, the horse receives a strike. With two Triple Crown Champions having been crowned in the last three years, the comparisons between Justifyand American Pharoah have already started. It begins with the date, listed in day-month-year format. This gives an indication how good the horse was on that day. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. Beyer: American Pharoah : 1 1/16m (ft) SA 9/27: 99: 101: Bayerd : 6 f (ft) RP 9/28: 99: 93: Ostrolenka : 1 m (ft) BEL 9/28: 94: 90: Goodoldhockeygame : 6 f (ft) WO 9/27 . Promiseher America was a third-out maiden winner going a one-turn mile on February 19 at the Big A before providing trainer Ray Handal with his first graded stakes triumph when capturing the Grade 3 Gazelle on April 8 the final local Oaks prep by a half-length. The Elusive Quality will be the first time Thin White Duke has raced at seven furlongs since May 2021, while Yes and Yes will contest at that distance for the first time since a win in a June optional claimer at Belmont. kentucky derby 2016 results chartrestaurant marketing manager resume. Michael is a pharmacist by profession, author of Masten Gregory: Totally Fearless as well as a horse racing blog that can be found at: www.thederbyhandicapper.com. The Beyer Speed Figures for the two races are close: Dortmund ran a 106, American Pharoah a 105. Then Wild on Ice (previous 3 Beyer . He also wanted a rating system that could compare horses at different distances and at all racetracks. (123) Two Phils 6. Hoffman Thoroughbreds and Tom McCrocklins Promiseher America recorded her final serious piece of work in preparation for the Grade 1, $1.25 million Kentucky Oaks on May 6 at Churchill Downs, when going a half-mile in 49.77 seconds over a fast Belmont Park training track. By running strongly at the same point in the Kentucky Derby, a horse would be in a prime position to win the roses. 53 Confidence Game, watch Dr. Fagers victory in the 1968 Californian on YouTube, Jon White: Beyer Figures vis-a-vis the Kentucky Derby. Only time will tell. (Exceptions: Apollo in 1882 and Justify in 2018. Knowing how to decipher the form can make you a more informed bettor. Starters to be named through the entry box the day before the race by closing time of the entries. No wonder Dr. Fagers weight originally was miscalculated. Only three current candidates for the May 6 Kentucky Derby have an official triple-digit BSF to their credit. American Pharoah - 2015 Triple Crown Champion, Breeders' Cup Classic champion and the first winner of the Grand Slam . Today was very positive. 5 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10 last week, I wrote for Xpressbet.com that unlike fellow [Todd] Pletcher trainees Kingsbarns and Tapit Trice, Fortes Beyers are going into the wrong direction. I pointed out that after Forte registered a 100 Beyer in the Breeders Cup Juvenile, he ran a 98 in the Fountain of Youth, then slid further down to a 95 in the Florida Derby. A good Beyer Speed Figure is anything above 100; a figure 115 or greater means the horse is considered among the best in the United States. The single-session sale, which grossed $6.7 million, recorded across-the-board increases over 2022. Beyer explained that rating a horses ability on just the final time of the race was not good enough, because racing surfaces can vary from day to day based on the weather, how the track is maintained and other factors. It just depends on which ones you look at, Romans said. (With a racing age sale) you get to see them run, see how they perform on the track and see them afterwards. Factor in the ground loss Skinner . When they did that, they found a mistake had been made. THE GAMENESS CATEGORY. All but two winners Animal Kingdom in 2011 and Mine That Bird in 2009 had run at least a 95 Beyer figure before the Derby. This points out horses who have the proper foundation and/or stamina for the Kentucky Derby distance. What does this mean for those of us planning on visiting the betting window Saturday? The highest official numbers belong to the sprinter Groovy, who earned a 132 and a 133 in 1987. In nearly every Kentucky Derby prep race, last years winning Beyer figure beat this years Beyer figure. I mean, I saw my horse loop 13 horses and gallop under the wire with his ears pricked. That in itself is remarkable. The following, per Equibase.com The colt accumulated $8,650,300 in earnings during his career, good for seventh all-time. HORSE. His 120 was the highest number recorded since Quality Road earned a 121 in 2011. Practical Move 2. She literally nailed the first eighth in 12 and three [seconds] and picked it up from there. Photo: Keeneland Photo/Photos by ZInto Mischief colt Talladega consigned as Hip 76 at theKeeneland April Selected Horses of Racing Age Sale, Hes just a lovely horse, said Tom Clark, who signed the ticket. David Ingordo, agent, paid $310,000 for the 4-year-old Dialed In ridgling Peaceful Waters , who earned a 92 Beyer Speed Figure when he captured a Keeneland allowance race April 16 in his 2023. Philip Gleaves, Steven Crist, Ken deRegt and Bryan Hilliards New York-bred Thin White Duke and Gleaves, Joseph Straus, Jr., and Hugh Fitzsimons Yes and Yes both made their seasonal debut in an April 13 optional claimer sprinting six furlongs over the Aqueduct outer turf, finishing a respective fifth and fourth with off-the-pace trips. In fact, thanks to his proficiency with speed figures and top-tier handicapping, he landed one of just eight spots on Beyer's figure-making team in 2017, a position he holds to this day.. The DSS consists of eight categories. The three-year-old won in a deep G2 UAE Derby in the Middle East to land a starting spot, and his late speed shown that day could make for a fascinating contender. John Clay: 859-231-3226, jclay@herald-leader.com, @johnclayiv, Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC/Three Chimneys, Twin Creeks/Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Robert LaPenta/Harry Rosenblum/Southern Springs, William Pacella, Frank L. Jones Jr. and Frank Shoop. Beyers numbers arent based solely on how fast a horse runs in a race. That boosted his total to 46 points, putting him into Kentucky Derby 149. Rising Market came in third, while sprint star Kissin George ended up 10th. Gamely, the only filly in the field and a future Hall of Famer herself, finished second. Video Poker Guide: Play the Best Online Video Poker Games, 2023 Kentucky Derby Odds: Forte Favored To Win Run For The Roses, 2022 Kentucky Derby Picks: Forte Favored To Take Run For The Roses, 2023 Kentucky Derby Sleepers: Looking for Live Longshots, Kentucky Derby Contenders: Forte Favored, But Watch Out For Derma Sotogake. One horse was able to use the Lexington as a means to get into the Kentucky Derby. "As a 2-year-old in training he did cost $2.3 million, so he. 7. He fought back against Tapit Trice through the entire stretch. This years entries yet to earn a 95: Gun Runner, Suddenbreakingnews, Whitmore, Oscar Nominated, Shagaf, Toms Ready, Majesto, Trojan Nation, Mo Tom and, yes, the Romans-trained Brodys Cause. We are excited about the level of buyer participation; there were a lot of trainers on the grounds. The points are listed below (if two or more horses have the same number of points, the tiebreaker is earnings in non-restricted stakes race): Rank (Points) Horse 1. Damascus won by 2 1/2 lengths. Based on an . The list is below: 1. Still, he did not need to go to war with a great pacesetter such as Life Is Good. A half brother to stakes winner The Grass Is Blue, Peaceful Waters is out of the winning, stakes-placed mare Shine Softly, by Aldebaran. Consignors are really happy; a lot of them were here today. Thats if you go by the Beyer Speed Figures, the calculations put forth by the writer, longtime horse player and numbers savant Andrew Beyer published by the Daily Racing Form. (McGaughey), Maryquitecontrary (McGaughey), Pass the Champagne (George Weaver), Probable:Big Invasion (Clement), Emaraaty (Brown), Heaven Street (Brendan Walsh), Lucky Curlin (Fernando Abreu), Thin White Duke (David Donk), Yes and Yes (Donk), Possible: Lucky Score (Mark Casse), Straight Answer (Cox), Probable: Minaun (Walsh), Star Devine (Jorge Abreu). The 2015 class had better times and/or speed figures at this point of the season. . I dont need somebody doing a mathematical formula telling me he ran well.. (100) Derma Sotogake 8. For context: The highest BSF since he created the system . Frosted ran a 103 to win last years Wood Memorial; Outwork a 93 this year. Did Secretariat change the sport of horse racing? Verifying showed no signs of distance limitations in his losing effort. A good Beyer Speed Figure is anything above 100; a figure 115 or greater means the horse is considered among the best in the United States. So their best speed figures are yet to come. Everything you need to know about placing an online bet, Here's your complete guide to the 2023 race, Who has won the most Kentucky Derby races and other facts you should know, Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. Keeneland reported 67 horses sold for $6,743,000, a 26.06% increase from the $5,349,000 in 2022 when 58 horses sold. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. But Medina Spirit was disqualified due to testing positive for traces of betamethasone, a medication that is legal to use but not on race day. Some believe they are nothing but empty numbers. A jockey's number of overall starts, victories and win percentage in the calendar year is listed at the far right. Winners of $65,000 twice since September 1, 1967 to carry 3 lbs. On 2016s Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. This came after she started a half-beat slow and raced through traffic during the early stages. But for now, Justify would rank in my top 25 American thoroughbreds of all-time by virtue of his Triple Crown championship. I wondered, Has any Kentucky Derby winner during the Beyer Speed Figure era had a declining pattern in his final three starts prior to the Run for the Roses, a la Forte? The Beyer Speed Figures were first published in Daily Racing Forms Kentucky Derby past performances in 1992. He then declined further to only a 93 BSF in his nose defeat when second in the Blue Grass Stakes. Beyer Speed Figure question (Belmont) Steve, If you get the chance to ask Andy on a future occasion, I was wondering if the comparison of American Pharoah's Belmont performance versus that of Secretariat would change either quantity from a speed figure perspective. I think speed figures have become one of the biggest jokes in horse racing, Dale Romans, trainer for Blue Grass Stakes winner Brodys Cause, said Wednesday. A jockey's statistics at the track are listed beside their name: their number of starts, followed by first-, second- and third-place finishes; the final number is the jockey's winning percentage. Various rules for the Kentucky Derby were quite popular for many years. And if you go by those numbers, this years Derby field is not exactly a distinguished crop. Although this isnt the Golden Era of horse racing we experienced in the 1970s, its feeling pretty close. 76 Verifying 9. Consigned by Highgate Sales, agent, he is out of Unicorn Girl, a winning daughter of A. P. Five Hundred. Beyer Speed Figures Explained | Odds Shark Sports NBA Betting Sites Odds Futures Picks Consensus Matchups and Scores Standings Stats Game Logs Betting Trends Power Rankings Referee Stats Team Reports Database NHL Betting Sites Odds Futures Picks Consensus Matchups and Scores Standings Stats Game Logs Betting Trends Power Rankings Team Reports This seems to point out that, if a horse is good enough to win the Kentucky Derby, the trainer is not searching for answers so late in the game. Commissioner colt Commissioner Dan consigned as Hip 120 at the Keeneland April Selected Horses of Racing Age Sale. For KAS Stables, Lanz was the sales leading buyer with three purchases for a total of $930,000. Perhaps Justify and McKinzie will meet up in the same race sometime in August or September. His 1:32 1/5 clocking shaved two-fifths of a second off the world record for one mile set by Buckpasser two years earlier at Arlington. When I dropped Forte from No. The client liked him. ( 45) Jaces Road 22. Philip Gleaves, Steven Crist, Ken deRegt and Bryan Hilliard's New York-bred Thin White Duke and Gleaves, Joseph Straus, Jr., and Hugh Fitzsimons' Yes and Yes both made their seasonal debut in an April 13 optional claimer sprinting six furlongs over the Aqueduct outer turf, finishing a respective fifth and fourth with off-the-pace trips. ARE DECLINING BEYERS A BIG DEAL? Its purpose is to try and identify those horses having the best chance to win the Kentucky Derby from BOTH tactical and historical perspectives. Future Hall of Famer Dr. Fager won the Californian by an easy three lengths, according to Heberts story. They are listed below: 1. Careers | ELiTE, agent, was the sales leading consignor with sales of $2,612,000 for 18 horses. ( 45) Reincarnate 20. She breezed great today. Beyer said that if his figures were around in 1973, Secretariat would have earned a 139 Beyer for his Belmont Stakes victory. Study the splits generally measured in quarter-mile increments but sometimes starting at a half mile depending on the length of the race after that. Churchill Downs lists six other possibilities, all hoping for a defection or defections from the current 20-horse field. They are listed below: Beyer Horse (Finish, Race) 101 Two Phils (1st, Jeff Ruby) 100 Practical Move (1st, Santa Anita Derby) 100 Practical Move (1st, San Felipe) 100 Mandarin Hero (2nd, Santa Anita Derby) There were no official Beyers for the UAE Derby. 103 Secret Oath 8. MY KENTUCKY DERBY TOP 10 There are no changes to my Kentucky Derby Top 10 from last week. ( 46) Disarm 19. (100) Kingsbarns 9. People are coming. Secretariats Paris home honoring him with park, mural and sculpture. THE NO ADDING OR REMOVING BLINKERS CATEGORY. Justify has four Grade 1 wins to date. Santa Anita Derby winner Practical Move heads into the Kentucky Derby as the only prospective participant in the 1 1/4-mile classic to have earned more than a single triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure (BSF). Horse Track Dist Date No. That race worked as a prep for the stake, said Donk. THE WIN IN A GRADED STAKES CATEGORY. Note: No. Overall, we can only hope Justifys ownership group races him in at least three more Grade 1 races for the benefit of the sport. Sponsorship Opportunities, Promiseher America perfect in final breeze for G1 Kentucky Oaks, Lifetime of Chance garners 87 BSF for NYSSS Times Square victory, G3 Gazelle runner-up Gambling Girl en route to Churchill Downs for G1 Kentucky Oaks; Expressman to target G3 Westchester, G1 Jaipur within realm of possibility for Nothing Better, Lord Miles registers 93 BSF for 59-1 upset score in G2 Wood Memorial. ( 46) Blazing Sevens 18. A native of Central Kentucky and a 1981 graduate of the University of Kentucky, John Clay is an award-winning blogger who covered UK football for 13 seasons before being promoted to columnist in 2000. Two Phils 9. Disarm picked up six points for finishing third in the Lexington. I created a table that lists both the fastest lifetime speed figure and most recent speed figure for each horse. Forte 6. A horse with 2-1 odds is a strong favorite, whereas one with 80-1 odds, like last year's Kentucky Derby winner Rich Strike, are longshots to win but present the biggest payout on a bet.
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